Deutsche Bank to Trump: pay up, Donald

DB is not laying down in the face of Donald Trump's force majeure lawsuit. It has filed an action in Manhattan against The Donald, saying since the SPE formed to do the Trump Tower deal has failed to pay the lenders back, Trump personally owes the bank $40 million. (H/T to the HuffPo.)Apparently, then, the loan had some partial recourse to Trump, who IIRC said he would not do recourse (or perhaps it was full recourse) deals anymore. The $40 MM, at least for him, seems to be a reasonable amount for recourse to me. The other question, which a NY lawyer would have to answer, is whether Trump's...

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Thanksgiving counterpoint: clemency for George Ryan

I know I am going against the grain here, at least those in the Tribune and Sun-Times who think former governor George Ryan should rot in jail for another 5 years.While I see their points, I respectfully disagree.Senator Dick Durbin and I agree on virtually nothing. But I'm glad to see he is at least considering sending a letter to President Bush asking for executive clemency."Let's look at the price he's paid," Durbin told reporters at the Statehouse. "His family name has been damaged. He is at an advanced moment in his life and been removed from his family. He has lost the economic security,...

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Fidelity and LandAmerica do a deal after all

But now it's on much better terms for Fidelity. The skinny? LandAm apparently had a toxic exchange subsidiary that invested about $290 million in auction rate securities that may take forever to get rid of. And you need to access that money to faciliate the exchanges. In short? Liquidity crisis.So the solution? File Chapter 11 and sell the money making parts of the company, Lawyers Title and Commonwealth, to Fidelity. This of course assumes the deal gets past regulatory approvals, and I think it will. So FNF gets the cake without having to eat the poisonous part of the business.As an...

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GGP - we're not dead yet!

[Cue Spamalot music.]No news as of now on refinancing or a loan extension (Friday deadline's looming) or a BK filing for GGP. What we do know is this:Alby Gallun reports that Fidelity Investments and affiliates own 13.% of the company, which means mutual funds and investors are gonna take a huge hit. The expectation on the street is an extension of some sort that will just delay the inevitable given the amount of loans coming due in 2009.But, but, but...today we get news that Bill Ackman's Pershing Square Capital has bought 7.5% of the company on the cheap, paying prices ranging from $0.35-$0.51...

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Ooh, ooh! A proxy fight at Grubb & Ellis!

I guess Tony Thompson wants back in at Grubb & Ellis (the name of the consolidated company after the Triple Net Properties deal -- as you know Tony started that company):Thompson, who has criticized Grubb & Ellis management for some time after leaving the company early this year, has mailed a letter to Grubb & Ellis stockholders that says, “We have watched in dismay over the past nine months as Grubb & Ellis has, in our view, lost its way.”Thompson is just not happy that G&E has lost 82% of its value since he left. Join the club, bucko. The market's tough out there. Grubb...

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So much for that merger

Fidelity decided to terminate its acquisition of LandAmerica, as was its right at the end of the due diligence period.This came to me in an email from LandAm today:Why did Fidelity decide to terminate the merger agreement? We were informed that the principal reason for their refusal to go forward was the pessimism over the current and foreseeable real estate economy and not because of any negative finds concerning our company.What is the financial viability of the LandAmerica underwriters? The LandAmerica underwriters, Lawyers Title and Commonwealth, have over $300 million in combined statutory...

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Thank goodness for dumb doctor deals

Actually, that's a misnomer here. "Dumb doctor deals" are real estate transactions that make no sense but for the fact that there are doctors with plenty of money backing them. Reading this NREI story was a welcome relief from all the gloom and doom in the news lately. The sector, while perhaps not recession-proof, is still alive:According to the latest data from Real Capital Analytics, sales of medical office properties totaled $3.3 billion in the first nine months of 2008, a 13% drop compared with the same period a year earlier. But that dip pales in comparison to the 62% dive in property...

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Thursday Tidbits - 11/20/08 Edition

GGP has hired Sidley Austin as BK counsel. Now, this does not mean they will file. But, they've got over a billion in debt coming due by month's end, and the company's worth about $100 MM right now (not that there's any correlation; I just like to say that, and hey, lenders are worried too). I'm actually surprised this hadn't come out sooner.Why else this is a problem? Because spreads are insane, apparently driven by two deals possibly defaulting early in the loan cycle. Take a look at the underwriting and you'll see why. Maybe this is the sell signal we need to get people buying something,...

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Trmup's Lawsuit: Developer See, Developer Do

Tom Corfman's Crain's piece today predicts: Donald Trump’s lawsuit against the menagerie of construction lenders for his riverfront tower is likely to be followed by more pre-emptive strikes by other developers. Amid the prolonged credit crisis, such lawsuits could become common.We've heard all the stories, so I won't bore you with lenders turning the screws on their borrowers. (Hey, the borrowers did it to them a few years ago, let's not forget.)There were two opinions given about the lawsuit:“We’re in an economic crisis, yes, but does that constitute force majeure?” said real estate attorney...

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Never mind - just liquidate

Are changes in the bankruptcy laws causing this? Instead of reorganizing, companies these days are just liquidating. Let's see...Linens and Things, Value City, Bennigan's...now apparently Steve & Barry's (H/T Traffic Court) only three months after a private equity rescue, and some think Circuit City's conversion to a Chapter 7 is only a matter of time. Or is it that PE players are just scared of the economy right now and figure they better cut their losses? Maybe not here, since the hedge fund that bought the company is going to lose its investment. So, the best answer may be lenders....

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OT: Tackling teacher tenure

The hard-charging chancellor of the Washington, DC schools, Michelle Rhee (all of 38!), has proposed what teachers unions must believe is unthinkable. But the plan is nothing short of sheer genius.What is it?Ms. Rhee has proposed spectacular raises of as much as $40,000, financed by private foundations, for teachers willing to give up tenure.I considered being a teacher, but the salary structure just didn't work for me. It used to be that some or many of the best and brightest went into the profession. These days, fewer do, to the point that it is almost laughable.This idea will not end tenure,...

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Too little, too late

In today's Tribune:As Macy's heads into its third Christmas in Chicago facing a brutal shopping environment, it is starting to bring back a small part of the old Marshall Field's.Nice try. But I haven't shopped at Macy's since the name change and I never will. Sorry. Sav-On learned when it tried to change its name to Osco on the west coast back in the 80s IIRC; even though I was an Osco shopper in Chicago, that change failed miserably with the average shopper in LA. Macy's should have learned the same lesson, but it didn't.I might change my mind for the bankruptcy/store closing sale if that...

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CEO of Prologis resigns

Jeffery Schwartz is calling it quits at Prologis after just under four years on the job.If you want the full scoop and stories about this event and the company, let me recommend Stripnomics to you. Richard Woon's been covering this company in detail and probably has forgotten more about it than I know.UPDATE: on top of everything else, such as dividend cutting, overhead slashing, etc., Prologis is halting all new developmen...

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Can you say one mall?

Yep. GGP's worth the equity in one mall, and not a big one at that, as I write. Never thought I'd see the day with a company I've always respected.Traffic Court has a good summary of the goings-on, including the dropping from the S&P 500 and a vague statement from Westfield that it might be interested in some of the properties. Nothing against Westfield -- they have some good people there -- but Westfield Shoppingtown Water Tower Place is a mouthfu...

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Institutional investors - overinvested in CRE?

This is something I've read about before, but it bears repeating.The "denominator effect" looms as the next force that could pressure the slumping real-estate market. Falling stock prices are leaving institutional investors overexposed to real estate, which could trigger further declines in property values as some of the market's most-active players move to the sidelines to recalibrate their portfolios. Big pension funds, college endowments and insurance companies typically allocate most of their investment dollars to stocks and bonds and sometimes a smaller amount -- about 6% to 10% for pension...

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You know things are bad when

you read this. I know the Blixseth divorce started cordial, went sour, and now this? Whew.BILLINGS, Mont. (AP) — The Yellowstone Club, an exclusive mountain retreat for the ultra-rich, said it filed for bankruptcy Monday after failing to secure new financing — underscoring that even the elite can't escape the country's current economic trouble...

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And now, the dreaded going concern statement for GGP

Yup. GGP has released its 10-Q with the following statement: In the event that we are unable to extend or refinance our debt or obtain additional capital on a timely basis and on acceptable terms, we will be required to take further steps to acquire the funds necessary to satisfy our short term cash needs, including seeking legal protection from our creditors. Our potential inability to address our 2008 or 2009 debt maturities in a satisfactory fashion raises substantial doubts as to our ability to continue as a going concern.What does that mean? Bankruptcy if some big loans are not extended...

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And the bailout is supposed to do what?

Loosen credit? Utterly no evidence of that, or of interest rates going down either. This post from ULI's Ground Floor blog shows no signs of anything letting up.Hopefully this wasn't a complete waste of tax dollars to just line some pockets of the right people at Main Street's expense. Although I said it had to be done, I think you have to question how, why and when.Even if you want to do a deal, you may not be able to afford it. Which reminds me -- take a look at the spread...

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Circuit City turns to Chapter 11

First they announce store closings. Now bankruptcy, albeit Chapter 11 for the time being. Is that the whole story?The interrelationship is more than meets the eye from the wire stories. There is definitely a real estate component to this filing.When they announced the store closings, the question you had to ask was: how? Do the leases for the closing stores have termination rights? Landlords aren't just going to walk away smiling. A retailer with the clout of CC usually negotiates a "go dark" provision that allows the store to close but you still have to pay rent.But under Chapter 11, the...

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Legal term of the day: force majeure

Well, The Donald apparently can't get another loan extension for Trump Tower Chicago, at least not without taking a haircut, and we all know how Trump likes his hair. So he's suing his lenders and demanding more time, claiming that the global financial crisis is an event of force majeure that excuses his timely performance.I obviously haven't seen Trump's loan, so I don't know the exact wording. But I deal with these clauses all the time. Literally meaning "greater force", a force majeure clause excuses performance under contracts because of acts of God, strikes, wars, riots, natural disasters,...

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Fidelity National to acquire LandAmerica

As an agent for LandAmerica, thanks to my ownership interest in River West National Title, I was wondering about the company's future. The stock was down about 90% this year and 3Q financials were delayed. I figured the company was looking for a buyer (no easy feat in this market) or a Chapter 11.We got the former. Subject to the usual contingencies -- and presumably antitrust approval -- Fidelity National's buying the company. Here's the press release. You'll know Fidelity better in Chicago through brands such as Chicago Title and Ticor, just as LandAmerica is better known through Lawyers...

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One winner in the game - Wal-Mart

Seems like you can always count on Wal-Mart to do well when things are bad. Times are tough, you buy the least expensive you can. And Wal-Mart has those always low prices....and yes, a year ago people were talking about the end of the end of the Wal-Mart era? Show me the money, baby.Nonetheless, they are still being cautious about future expansion, which is just another reason why WMT stock is up almost 15% YT...

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Oh what the heck

Let's throw a little more money at a problem: namely, Block 37. Now we're looking at another $12 million to help pay for a Loews hotel there. The money will also apparently help pay for CTA cost overruns, which is apparently going to cost some $320 million.But let me say this: my gut reaction is that this is a good use of TIF money. Block 37, face it, is a showcase. We took this long to figure it out, and kudos to Freed for coming up with a good use. I like the idea of a hotel ther...

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And just to brighten your day a little more

We have another prediction in that the next tsunami in the market will be commercial real estate. This one comes from Thomas Barrack, the founder of Colony Capital via the WSJ's Deal Blog. (H/T Traffic Court.)Believe it or not, if Mr. Barrack is right I think this would be as bad or worse than the residential crisis. Why? The blog post says most of it well. If the loans mature and there are no buyers and no viable refinancing options, what next: RTC II? The Obama administration better be ready for the second half of its term when this all starts hitting the fan if not sooner.The best case...

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GGP, Kimco tank on lower earnings expectations

When your earnings aren't going to make the target, you know it's gonna happen. Could this come at a worse time for GGP? They claim to be making inroads on financing. I missed the call, unfortunately, but maybe I will listen to it later. Adam's a smart guy, so if anyone can bail this one out he can, presumably with Bucksbaum in the background. But GGP trading at $2.53 as I type and with a market cap of $677 million? Maybe Roeder was right. Problem is in this market selling isn't easy and lenders may be willing to negotiate just to not have distressed assets on the book...

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More on an Obama presidency and CRE

Eddie Baeb and the ubiquitous Bruce Kaplan have it right on: but for the credit crunch, we'd be in a sell sell sell mode.Enough sai...

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Waterview Tower: the naysayers were right for now

I'll toot my horn when I am right and admit when I am not. (I should make sure I am a lawyer, huh?) And this time the naysayers on Waterview Tower were right. First it was the trade credit insurance, then the liens, and now this. Alby Gallun moved a story this morning that Waterview Tower's construction loan with the Export-Import Bank of China is on hold. Anyone who said timing isn't important didn't develop real estate.Yes, this means you have 26 stories of a building shell sitting across from my old office just sitting there. And this also means B of A could foreclose on its A&D...

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And, just to top things off

Institutional investors are backing off private equity investments:Large institutional investors that provided much of the capital that put some of America's best-known companies into private hands are starting to cool on the investment strategy, suggesting that the lifeline for private equity is eroding.PE can bring big returns, but there's a concern about liquidity. I can understand that. But this can also mean, for dirt folks, less capital for investing and lower prices.But what it can also mean is a HUGE opportunity for the real estate investors who stay the course. If you have the cash...

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Simon: We're Not Buying GGP

And why should it? Yeah, that's the big rumor. But, just like law firms these days, there's little need to take the whole kit and kaboodle. If GGP cannot get out of its current hole, then Simon can make a much better play: cherry-pick the best assets one way or another. And, at least as far as I know, there is no other player to step in.Or is there? I have one other thought in mind, one I am going to put into an envelope, and I promise to tell you whether I am right or wrong about it.Oh, and in the big shock department: GGP's been hit with a class action over the whole loan business. Yes,...

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Preparing for an Obama presidency in CRE

As exemplified by this Retail Traffic piece last week comparing GOP and Democratic policies, dirt folks need to start preparing for an Obama presidency, assuming we don't end up in a Dewey Defeats Truman scenario.What will be good? Well, the Democrats will likely spend a lot of money on various programs in an attempt to stimulate the economy. This could lead to more projects and spending in the middle class, but it could also lead to higher prices and construction and labor costs.On the other hand, you have some real negatives, intentional or not. Capital gains taxes will increase, meaning...

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Bad news (for now) on the retail front

Nationally: as expected, Circuit City decided to close 155 stores by the holidays, including 13 in Chicagoland. It's been the talk for a long time now, as they are getting clobbered by Best Buy. FWIW, my local Best Buy does not look too busy either. But I really like the store. I dont; have a Circuit City near me so I do not keep on their doings much.Locally: Crain's reports that two of the three anchor tenant's at the old Carson Pirie Scott store, Fox & Obel and Billabong, are pulling out of the deal. I don't have any details or inside information. I'm guessing there were letters of...

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Roeder: GGP "almost literally worth nothing"

David Roeder of the Sun-Times has a scathing story today chronicling GGP's decline thanks to debt and too much optimism. I didn't see anything, however, about the hanky-panky loans previously disclosed by the company that led to the downfall of Bernie Freibaum, Robert Michaels and John Bucksbaum.All I can say is that I wish Adam Metz and company good luck. People who come from the old JMB dispora pretty much all have a lot of brainpower, and it looks like you'll need it her...

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